{"id":1116,"date":"2018-05-23T12:00:28","date_gmt":"2018-05-23T12:00:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/athis-consulting.com\/news\/?p=1116"},"modified":"2018-06-18T18:53:38","modified_gmt":"2018-06-18T18:53:38","slug":"report-renewables-energy-efficiency-in-new-england-will-replace-the-need-for-gas-pipelines","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/athis-technologies.com\/news\/market\/2018\/report-renewables-energy-efficiency-in-new-england-will-replace-the-need-for-gas-pipelines\/","title":{"rendered":"Report: Renewables, Energy Efficiency in New England Will Replace the Need for Gas Pipelines"},"content":{"rendered":"

A report that examines statements about rolling blackouts made by regional grid operator ISO-New England, shows that sustained growth of renewables, and not more gas, will boost reliability of New England\u2019s electric power system.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s\u00a0a familiar story to the renewables sector<\/a>, but wasn\u2019t the conclusion initially put forward by ISO-New England, which instead claimed the region was on track for problems towards mid-2020s with its security of electricity supply and would likely face rolling blackouts in the event of winter cold-snaps.<\/p>\n

REW spoke with Dave Ismay of the Conservation Law Foundation (CLF) to understand the situation and the forecast for New England renewables growth into the 2020s.<\/p>\n

Ismay pointed out that some context is worthwhile. Considering a growing reliance on natural gas for electricity generation, regional stakeholders have been discussing potential fuel problems for some years, he explained.<\/p>\n

\u201cISO-New England came out some time ago as supporting new gas pipeline infrastructure as a solution to fuel security before any quantitive work.\u201d<\/p>\n

Flash forward to January 2018, and ISO-New England published its first report on the matter,\u00a0Operational Fuel-Security Analysis.<\/p>\n

\u201cAs a rule, with its analyses, ISO typically allows the New England Power Pool, the regional power stakeholders, to participate. Oddly, we weren\u2019t involved at all.\u201d<\/p>\n

To the surprise of sector stakeholders, the report, and ISO\u2019s commentary on it, painted a picture of an unreliable grid. But scrutiny of the report revealed peculiarities.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe owner of one of our two LNG facilities noticed ISO capped the system at one billion cubic feet per day, whereas the system can flow double that.\u201d<\/p>\n

Ismay also noted that for non-electricity thermal gas demand, ISO simply assumed forecasts of gas companies at face value, and projected huge consumption increases. The massive overestimation contributed to a worst-case assumption that cold winters would see regional gas depletion.<\/p>\n

ISO-New England also underestimated energy efficiency measures going toward 2024-25.<\/p>\n

\u201cA broad stakeholder group believes ISO essentially got the baseline \u2018reference case\u2019 scenario wrong; correct it to what we call a Business-As-Usual (BAU) scenario, the problem vanishes.\u201d<\/p>\n

Other \u201cbasic work\u201d was neglected, too \u2014 there was no energy supply risk analysis or probabilities calculated.<\/p>\n

\u201cTo ignore that kind of basic work is concerning,\u201d said Ismay.<\/p>\n

Cautious of speculation, Ismay suggested that a priori assumptions \u2014 about the need for new gas pipelines \u2014 perhaps contributed to ISO\u2019s conclusions.<\/p>\n

\u201cThey sent the message of a crisis that only gas can solve. It\u2019s just not accurate; actually, more gas creates more problems. We become more dependent and forego diversity and resilience.\u201d<\/p>\n

BAU scenario incorporates assumptions that the states will continue along trends of successful renewables programs and achieve legislatively mandated clean imports \u2014 factors that ISO neglected to varying extents.<\/p>\n

\n

\u201cThe problem literally drops to zero on all axis of the analysis.\u201d – Dave Ismay, Conservation Law Foundation<\/em><\/h2>\n<\/blockquote>\n

\u201cIt\u2019s crying \u2018the sky is falling\u2019 to claim that in 19 of 23 scenarios we will have rolling blackouts, because zero of those scenarios were very likely. The corrected BAU baseline demonstrates that clearly.\u201d<\/p>\n

For instance, Massachusetts State legislature passed the\u00a0Energy and Diversity Act of 2016<\/a>\u00a0requiring clean wind and hydro imports from Canada, and 1,600 MW of offshore wind off the Massachusetts coast under contract by 2027. In all, New England is anticipating 500 MW in new wind capacity (400 MW offshore and 100 MW onshore) over the next seven years.<\/p>\n

\u201cWhen those resources are input into ISO\u2019s model, they diversify the energy mix in a way that Europeans are already demonstrating: renewable diversity, both in space and of type, is incredibly reliable.\u201d<\/p>\n

The re-interpretation of ISO\u2019s study isn\u2019t alone in its conclusions. Ismay described a Massachusetts Attorney General commissioned study from November 2015, that concluded \u201cthere\u2019s no reliability problem though 2030 so long as we continue to pursue our national leading energy efficiency and renewable programs.\u201d<\/p>\n

So what does this experience teach us?<\/p>\n

For one: new pipe infrastructure is a hammer to swat a fly, as Ismay put it.<\/p>\n

\u201cIt would be very expensive and harm our ability to meet climate goals,\u201d said Ismay, highlighting the additional problem of creating stranded assets given legal obligations to shutter fossil fuel burning plants.<\/p>\n

\u201cAll things being equal, the reliability of the grid decreases as our reliance on gas-fired power plants increases.\u201d<\/p>\n

Ismay concluded: \u201cThis is a good reminder of the\u00a0value of diversity<\/a>\u00a0in generation sources and the value it brings to customers and the grid beyond the climate. We have our lowest priced electricity markets ever; a new boost to economy; and a clean, reliable grid. That\u2019s a lot of value from renewables in places that advocates often fail to mention.\u201d<\/p>\n

Full article<\/a><\/p>\n

Source: https:\/\/www.renewableenergyworld.com<\/a><\/p>\n

Featured image credits:\u00a0http:\/\/www.opusenergyblog.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A report that examines statements about rolling blackouts made by regional grid operator ISO-New England, shows that sustained growth of renewables, and not more gas, will boost reliability of New England\u2019s electric power system. It\u2019s\u00a0a familiar story to the renewables sector, but wasn\u2019t the conclusion initially put forward by ISO-New England, which instead claimed the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":1119,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"amp_status":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false}}},"categories":[13,10],"tags":[72,73],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"yoast_head":"\nReport: Renewables, Energy Efficiency in New England Will Replace the Need for Gas Pipelines - AthisNews<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/athis-technologies.com\/news\/market\/2018\/report-renewables-energy-efficiency-in-new-england-will-replace-the-need-for-gas-pipelines\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Report: Renewables, Energy Efficiency in New England Will Replace the Need for Gas Pipelines - AthisNews\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A report that examines statements about rolling blackouts made by regional grid operator ISO-New England, shows that sustained growth of renewables, and not more gas, will boost reliability of New England\u2019s electric power system. 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